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Serie D. Group I, Matchday 8

Messina Castrovillari
29 ELO 19
9% Tilt 38%
4597º General ELO ranking 6811º
121º Country ELO ranking 250º
ELO win probability
43.7%
Messina
24.1%
Draw
32.2%
Castrovillari

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
Messina
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32.2%
Win probability
Castrovillari
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

Points and table prediction

Messina
Their league position
Castrovillari
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
10º
41
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected probabilities
Messina
Castrovillari