ACR Messina vs San Luca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
30.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
SMC
1 - 1
MES
59%
23%
18%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
MES
1 - 0
PAT
32%
25%
43%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
DAT
1 - 2
MES
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
MES
1 - 0
USC
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ROC
0 - 1
MES
37%
27%
37%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
San Luca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
LUC
2 - 1
CSA
66%
18%
16%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 1
LUC
25%
22%
53%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
LUC
3 - 2
REN
57%
20%
23%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
LIC
1 - 0
LUC
51%
21%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
LUC
0 - 0
SMC
44%
22%
35%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |