ACR Messina vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
20.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
MES
2 - 1
COS
56%
21%
24%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
MES
1 - 1
NOV
58%
25%
18%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
MES
1 - 1
PAR
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
ACP
0 - 0
MES
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
REG
1 - 3
MES
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
ACP
1 - 0
ASL
59%
22%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
PRO
1 - 0
ACP
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
PAL
1 - 0
ACP
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
ACP
0 - 0
MES
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
ACP
0 - 2
USF
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |