Messancy vs Longlier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
60.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-68%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
9º
7º
51
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
5º
|
79.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 35% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 65% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
EBE
4 - 1
MES
62%
20%
18%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MES
1 - 2
LOR
23%
21%
56%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 1
MES
55%
21%
24%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MES
1 - 3
SAR
37%
23%
40%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
OPP
4 - 3
MES
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Longlier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LON
0 - 0
JEU
63%
20%
18%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GOU
1 - 0
LON
38%
24%
39%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LON
2 - 1
VAU
48%
22%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
LON
22%
21%
57%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LON
2 - 0
LAR
61%
20%
19%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |