Mesia CD vs X Aranga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
77.5%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+113%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mesia CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
PER
3 - 2
MES
55%
20%
25%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MES
0 - 1
ATL
10%
15%
74%
|
5 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
VIS
2 - 0
MES
88%
9%
3%
|
5 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
MES
1 - 2
VOR
41%
23%
37%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
PCA
1 - 2
MES
52%
21%
27%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
X Aranga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 0
SXU
60%
19%
21%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SDV
3 - 6
ARA
17%
19%
65%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 0
QUE
31%
21%
48%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 0
ARA
49%
22%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
PER
3 - 1
ARA
19%
19%
63%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -1 |