Merw vs Şagadam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
AHA
2 - 0
MER
60%
22%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
MER
1 - 1
ALT
34%
25%
42%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
BFT
1 - 2
MER
24%
24%
52%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MER
2 - 1
AGA
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
EFT
1 - 0
MER
21%
24%
55%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Şagadam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
AGA
2 - 1
KAS
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
AGA
2 - 0
EFT
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
AHA
3 - 1
AGA
57%
22%
20%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
AGA
1 - 3
ALT
35%
25%
40%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BFT
2 - 4
AGA
21%
23%
56%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | +1 |