Conference Premier Round 1

Merthyr Tydfil FC vs Bashley analysis

Merthyr Tydfil FC Bashley
46 ELO 46
4% Tilt 0.2%
28272º General ELO ranking 10836º
975º Country ELO ranking 440º
ELO win probability
45.2%
Merthyr Tydfil FC
25%
Draw
29.7%
Bashley

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
Merthyr Tydfil FC
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.7%
Win probability
Bashley
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Merthyr Tydfil FC
Bashley
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Merthyr Tydfil FC
Merthyr Tydfil FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Apr. 2009
MER
Merthyr Tydfil FC
2 - 0
Halesowen Town
HAL
56%
23%
21%
45 41 4 0
21 Apr. 2009
MER
Merthyr Tydfil FC
1 - 1
Farnborough
FAR
29%
25%
47%
44 52 8 +1
18 Apr. 2009
BAN
Banbury United
1 - 1
Merthyr Tydfil FC
MER
39%
25%
35%
44 39 5 0
13 Apr. 2009
EVE
Evesham United
0 - 2
Merthyr Tydfil FC
MER
44%
27%
29%
43 46 3 +1
11 Apr. 2009
MER
Merthyr Tydfil FC
2 - 2
Oxford City
OXF
41%
25%
34%
43 46 3 0

Matches

Bashley
Bashley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Apr. 2009
BAS
Bashley
3 - 1
Rugby Town
RUG
61%
22%
18%
46 38 8 0
21 Apr. 2009
BAS
Bashley
4 - 0
Hitchin Town
HIT
60%
22%
19%
46 37 9 0
18 Apr. 2009
BED
Bedford Town
0 - 2
Bashley
BAS
39%
26%
35%
45 41 4 +1
15 Apr. 2009
BRA
Brackley Town
2 - 4
Bashley
BAS
54%
23%
23%
43 45 2 +2
13 Apr. 2009
BAS
Bashley
1 - 0
Farnborough
FAR
24%
24%
52%
42 52 10 +1