Merthyr Tydfil FC vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merthyr Tydfil FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
MER
2 - 0
HAL
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
MER
1 - 1
FAR
29%
25%
47%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
BAN
1 - 1
MER
39%
25%
35%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
EVE
0 - 2
MER
44%
27%
29%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
MER
2 - 2
OXF
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 1
RUG
61%
22%
18%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
BAS
4 - 0
HIT
60%
22%
19%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
BED
0 - 2
BAS
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 4
BAS
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 0
FAR
24%
24%
52%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |