Merthyr Tydfil FC vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
46.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merthyr Tydfil FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2008 |
MER
3 - 0
HIT
55%
24%
21%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
HAL
3 - 0
MER
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
BRO
1 - 1
MER
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
BED
3 - 3
MER
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
TIV
3 - 2
MER
42%
27%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 0
CLE
62%
22%
17%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
BAS
2 - 0
CHI
51%
25%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
BAN
0 - 2
BAS
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
BAS
1 - 0
SWI
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
TIV
1 - 0
BAS
22%
26%
53%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -1 |