Merthyr Town vs Poole Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
36.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SAL
2 - 1
MER
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
MER
0 - 0
BEA
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
WIM
0 - 0
MER
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BLA
0 - 0
MER
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
MER
4 - 2
TAU
23%
23%
55%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
Poole Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
BEA
1 - 2
POO
32%
24%
43%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
WEY
4 - 0
POO
71%
18%
12%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
AFT
2 - 1
POO
25%
23%
52%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
POO
3 - 1
BEA
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BLA
1 - 1
POO
21%
22%
58%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |