Merstham vs Leatherhead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
55.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
WOR
1 - 1
MER
74%
16%
11%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
MER
2 - 2
WHY
43%
25%
32%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
DUL
3 - 1
MER
48%
23%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
FOL
2 - 0
MER
63%
22%
15%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
MER
3 - 2
WHI
57%
21%
21%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Leatherhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
LEA
0 - 1
WAL
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
TOW
0 - 4
LEA
16%
22%
63%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
MET
1 - 3
LEA
37%
27%
37%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2010 |
LEA
2 - 0
MET
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ATK
0 - 1
LEA
25%
24%
51%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |