Merstham vs Horsham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
67.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
WOR
6 - 1
MER
89%
8%
3%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2020 |
MER
1 - 3
BOW
21%
22%
56%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
MER
2 - 3
POT
29%
23%
48%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
MER
0 - 4
FOL
12%
17%
71%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
MER
85%
10%
5%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
HOR
1 - 0
COR
70%
17%
13%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
HOR
2 - 1
HOR
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
HOR
3 - 0
LEW
67%
18%
15%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
WOR
3 - 0
HOR
50%
23%
27%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
HOR
1 - 0
EAS
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |