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2. Lig. Group de Ascenso, Matchday 9

Mersin vs Bucaspor analysis

Mersin Bucaspor
39 ELO 32
13% Tilt 75%
7386º General ELO ranking 1381º
147º Country ELO ranking 64º
ELO win probability
40.1%
Mersin
22.5%
Draw
37.4%
Bucaspor

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
Mersin
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
37.4%
Win probability
Bucaspor
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mersin
+61%
+49%
Bucaspor

Points and table prediction

Mersin
Their league position
Bucaspor
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
37
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bucaspor
37
37
100%
Mersin
31
31
100%
Tokatspor
29
29
100%
Tarsus Idman Yurdu
28
28
100%
Corumspor
27
27
100%
Vanspor FK
26
26
100%
Korfez FK
22
22
100%
Beykozspor
20
20
100%
Eyupspor
19
19
100%
Amedspor
10º
4
4
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Mersin
Bucaspor
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Bucaspor
BUC
Mersin
MER
Corumspor
COR
Amedspor
DIY
Vanspor FK
BUY
Korfez FK
KOR
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mersin
Mersin
1%
X%
2%
ELO MER ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 2009
BEY
Beykozspor
1 - 0
Mersin
MER
41%
28%
31%
574 477 -97 -2
01 Mar. 2009
MER
Mersin
2 - 1
Tarsus Idman Yurdu
TAR
51%
26%
23%
572 407 165 +2
22 Feb. 2009
EYU
Eyupspor
1 - 1
Mersin
MER
41%
28%
32%
572 422 -150 0
15 Feb. 2009
MER
Mersin
2 - 0
Vanspor FK
BUY
49%
26%
25%
569 483 86 +3
08 Feb. 2009
COR
Corumspor
2 - 4
Mersin
MER
41%
28%
31%
566 487 -79 +3

Matches

Bucaspor
Bucaspor
1%
X%
2%
ELO BUC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 2009
BUC
Bucaspor
2 - 0
Korfez FK
KOR
46%
27%
27%
424 466 -42 +3
01 Mar. 2009
DIY
Amedspor
0 - 1
Bucaspor
BUC
46%
27%
27%
421 396 -25 +2
22 Feb. 2009
TOK
Tokatspor
2 - 1
Bucaspor
BUC
47%
27%
26%
423 490 67 -2
15 Feb. 2009
BUC
Bucaspor
3 - 2
Beykozspor
BEY
46%
27%
28%
421 476 -55 +2
08 Feb. 2009
TAR
Tarsus Idman Yurdu
3 - 3
Bucaspor
BUC
46%
27%
27%
421 403 -18 0