Venados FC vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
42.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
DUR
1 - 1
MER
53%
26%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
MER
3 - 2
TOR
35%
28%
36%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
ALE
0 - 0
MER
52%
26%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2022 |
MER
1 - 3
UAT
49%
26%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
MER
2 - 1
CAZ
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 1
SPT
63%
21%
15%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
CDT
2 - 0
MOR
27%
28%
45%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 0
TIA
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
RYD
1 - 0
MOR
27%
27%
46%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 1
ATL
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |