Venados FC vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
58.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
CFC
0 - 1
MER
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
MER
2 - 0
CIM
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
TEM
2 - 0
MER
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
MER
1 - 1
RYD
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
TAM
3 - 0
MER
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 2
CIM
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 1
UAT
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
CDT
0 - 3
MOR
18%
26%
56%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 1
TOR
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
DOR
3 - 1
MOR
24%
25%
51%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |