Liga de Expansión MX - Apertura Temporada Regular. Jor. 3

Venados FC vs Celaya analysis

Venados FC Celaya
62 ELO 67
2.8% Tilt -16.2%
1706º General ELO ranking 883º
30º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
35.3%
Venados FC
28.2%
Draw
36.4%
Celaya

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
Venados FC
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
36.4%
Win probability
Celaya
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Venados FC
+43%
-2%
Celaya

ELO progression

Venados FC
Celaya
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Venados FC
Venados FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jul. 2022
ALE
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
0 - 0
Venados FC
MER
52%
26%
21%
61 66 5 0
27 Jun. 2022
MER
Venados FC
1 - 3
Correcaminos UAT
UAT
49%
26%
26%
62 59 3 -1
13 Jun. 2022
MER
Venados FC
2 - 1
Cruz Azul
CAZ
22%
26%
52%
62 82 20 0
22 Apr. 2022
ATL
Atlante FC
1 - 0
Venados FC
MER
52%
28%
21%
63 70 7 -1
14 Apr. 2022
TOR
Celaya
1 - 0
Venados FC
MER
52%
27%
22%
64 69 5 -1

Matches

Celaya
Celaya
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jul. 2022
TOR
Celaya
2 - 1
Pumas Tabasco
SPT
52%
26%
22%
68 56 12 0
25 Jun. 2022
ZAC
Mineros de Zacatecas
1 - 0
Celaya
TOR
48%
26%
26%
68 67 1 0
08 May. 2022
TOR
Celaya
1 - 1
Cimarrones de Sonora
CIM
46%
27%
27%
68 66 2 0
06 May. 2022
CIM
Cimarrones de Sonora
1 - 0
Celaya
TOR
38%
28%
34%
70 65 5 -2
02 May. 2022
TOR
Celaya
2 - 1
Cancún
CFC
53%
26%
21%
69 59 10 +1
X