Venados FC vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
40.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
MER
2 - 4
ZAC
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MER
1 - 3
NEC
58%
23%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
NEC
1 - 1
MER
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
DOR
2 - 1
MER
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
MER
2 - 2
LOB
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
CAZ
0 - 3
MOR
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CAZ
0 - 2
UDG
67%
22%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
PUM
0 - 1
CAZ
38%
28%
34%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CAZ
0 - 1
JAG
54%
24%
21%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 0
CAZ
38%
28%
35%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |