Merelinense vs Braganca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
VFC
2 - 1
MER
16%
20%
64%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
MER
6 - 1
AGU
82%
12%
6%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
MER
1 - 1
BRA
19%
24%
57%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
MER
1 - 0
MON
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
VIA
1 - 3
MER
22%
25%
54%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Braganca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 0
AGU
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
MON
0 - 0
BRA
75%
16%
9%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 0
CER
36%
24%
40%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
MIR
0 - 1
BRA
69%
19%
11%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 1
PED
26%
24%
51%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |