Merelinense U19 vs Vila Real U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.4%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-73%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
8º
4º
5
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 23 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 22 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
60% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
MER
24%
21%
55%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MER
3 - 1
CHA
21%
21%
58%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +4 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
OSL
1 - 1
MER
42%
22%
36%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MER
6 - 2
AMA
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MER
2 - 1
TRF
30%
22%
48%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Vila Real U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 3
VIL
10%
16%
74%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MIR
1 - 2
VIL
68%
17%
15%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VAR
5 - 0
VIL
84%
11%
5%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 2
MAR
34%
23%
43%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 3
CHA
11%
17%
72%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | -1 |