Merelinense U19 vs Chaves U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
58.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-73%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
8º
4º
43
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 23 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 22 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
60% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
OSL
1 - 1
MER
42%
22%
36%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MER
6 - 2
AMA
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MER
2 - 1
TRF
30%
22%
48%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 0
MER
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 0
MER
67%
17%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Chaves U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 2
VIL
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MIR
0 - 2
CHA
16%
19%
65%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 3
CHA
11%
17%
72%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
4 - 0
MAR
85%
10%
5%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 0
CHA
38%
26%
37%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |