Merelinense U19 vs Amarante U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
23.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
8º
4º
21
6º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 23 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 22 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
60% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MER
2 - 1
TRF
28%
22%
50%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 0
MER
70%
17%
14%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 0
MER
67%
17%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MER
1 - 2
MIR
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 2
MER
26%
21%
54%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Amarante U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
5 - 1
AMA
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
AMA
1 - 1
MIR
59%
19%
21%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
AMA
26%
21%
53%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
AMA
0 - 0
MAR
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
5 - 2
AMA
76%
14%
9%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |