Merelbeke vs VW Hamme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelbeke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
SPO
2 - 1
MER
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
MER
1 - 4
SPA
35%
25%
41%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
RON
3 - 1
MER
52%
25%
24%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MER
0 - 2
GEN
40%
24%
36%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
KNO
3 - 0
MER
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
VW Hamme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
VWH
0 - 3
VOO
35%
24%
41%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
STN
2 - 2
VWH
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
VWH
4 - 1
WES
45%
23%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
OUD
3 - 2
VWH
50%
23%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 0
VWH
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |