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Third Division. VFV A, Matchday 17

Merelbeke vs Mandel United analysis

Merelbeke Mandel United
48 ELO 30
1% Tilt 82%
1771º General ELO ranking 4338º
57º Country ELO ranking 291º
ELO win probability
43.8%
Merelbeke
22.1%
Draw
34.1%
Mandel United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
Merelbeke
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
34.1%
Win probability
Mandel United
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Merelbeke
-20%
+96%
Mandel United

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Knokke
63
73
100%
Mandel United
45
56
56%
Ronse
45
53
19%
Oudenaarde
42
52
17%
Gent-Zeehaven
41
48
16%
Sparta Petegem
39
49
15%
Gullegem
39
47
14%
Voorwaarts Zwevezele
38
50
11%
SW Harelbeke
35
43
31%
Dikkelvenne
10º
31
39
10º
39%
Westhoek
11º
28
34
11º
41%
Temse
12º
24
30
12º
34%
KSCT Menen
13º
20
28
13º
24%
Merelbeke
14º
19
27
14º
24%
Sint-Niklaas
15º
16
22
16º
33%
VW Hamme
16º
15
22
15º
32%
Expected probabilities
Merelbeke
Mandel United
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 56%
Could qualify for next round
0% 37%
Mid-table
43% 8%
Relegation playoffs
24% 0%
Relegation
33% 0%

ELO progression

Merelbeke
MER
Mandel United
MAN
KSCT Menen
TOE
Gullegem
GUL
Kortrijk
KVK
Dikkelvenne
DIK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Merelbeke
Merelbeke
1%
X%
2%
ELO MER ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Dec. 2019
MER
Merelbeke
3 - 1
Mandel United
MAN
60%
22%
18%
881 389 492 +2
14 Dec. 2019
TEM
Temse
0 - 0
Merelbeke
MER
33%
28%
39%
881 340 -541 -1
08 Dec. 2019
DIK
Dikkelvenne
0 - 1
Merelbeke
MER
39%
28%
33%
880 599 -281 +2
01 Dec. 2019
MER
Merelbeke
0 - 1
KSCT Menen
TOE
52%
26%
22%
882 606 276 -2
23 Nov. 2019
OUD
Oudenaarde
4 - 3
Merelbeke
MER
31%
27%
42%
885 307 -578 -3

Matches

Mandel United
Mandel United
1%
X%
2%
ELO MAN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Dec. 2019
MER
Merelbeke
3 - 1
Mandel United
MAN
60%
22%
18%
389 881 492 -2
14 Dec. 2019
MAN
Mandel United
2 - 1
Voorwaarts Zwevezele
VOO
40%
28%
32%
386 615 -229 +2
07 Dec. 2019
MAN
Mandel United
1 - 3
Sint-Niklaas
STN
47%
27%
26%
390 298 92 -3
01 Dec. 2019
WES
Westhoek
1 - 3
Mandel United
MAN
53%
25%
22%
386 564 178 +3
23 Nov. 2019
MAN
Mandel United
4 - 0
VW Hamme
VWH
46%
27%
27%
382 408 -26 +4