Mercadal vs Murense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
9.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CFP
0 - 2
MER
52%
24%
24%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MER
1 - 1
SRF
70%
18%
13%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
UDR
1 - 1
MER
23%
23%
54%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
MER
2 - 1
MJG
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
MJG
1 - 2
MER
16%
21%
63%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 1
SVE
43%
25%
33%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CFP
0 - 0
MUR
71%
19%
11%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
AND
3 - 1
MUR
72%
18%
11%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 0
IMA
51%
24%
25%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
IMA
1 - 1
MUR
33%
25%
43%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |