Mercadal vs Constància analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
25.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
INT
2 - 0
MER
23%
23%
54%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MER
1 - 2
CAM
70%
18%
12%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
FLN
0 - 1
MER
25%
24%
51%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MER
2 - 3
MNC
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SVE
3 - 2
MER
18%
21%
61%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | -3 |
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CON
2 - 0
SVE
63%
21%
16%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MUR
2 - 0
CON
20%
26%
53%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
CON
0 - 0
CFP
32%
27%
41%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SRF
1 - 2
CON
37%
26%
37%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
CON
6 - 0
UDR
57%
23%
20%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |