Merani Martvili vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
44%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merani Martvili
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
ZUG
2 - 5
MER
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
MER
2 - 0
MET
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
NOR
1 - 1
MER
48%
25%
28%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
MER
1 - 3
GAG
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
MER
3 - 2
CHI
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
NOR
4 - 3
GAG
32%
26%
41%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
WIT
0 - 2
GAG
20%
27%
53%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
GAG
1 - 1
CHI
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
MER
1 - 3
GAG
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
GAR
0 - 1
GAG
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |