Mensajero vs Ibarra analysis
Play responsibly. 18+
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mensajero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
CSU
1 - 0
CDM
37%
25%
38%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
CDM
0 - 1
CDT
66%
20%
14%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
TAM
0 - 0
CDM
58%
20%
21%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CDM
1 - 1
VSB
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
UPR
0 - 2
CDM
31%
25%
44%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
UDI
2 - 0
UDL
60%
21%
19%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 2
UDI
64%
20%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
UDI
2 - 1
ATL
50%
23%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
GUI
1 - 0
UDI
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
UDI
0 - 4
PAN
49%
23%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -2 |