CD Mensajero vs Arucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
17.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
6º
1º
36
2º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
74.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
74.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
67.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
70.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Mensajero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LPA
2 - 0
CDM
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CDM
2 - 0
VSB
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LAN
1 - 1
CDM
25%
25%
50%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
UPR
3 - 0
CDM
18%
22%
59%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CDM
3 - 2
MAR
66%
19%
16%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ARU
2 - 1
MAR
43%
24%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CDT
3 - 2
ARU
56%
22%
22%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
ARU
1 - 0
UDS
22%
22%
56%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
YAI
3 - 1
ARU
32%
24%
45%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
ARU
2 - 0
EST
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | +1 |