Mendrisio-Stabio vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.9%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.2%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
84.6%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
16.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.3%
0-3
14.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
18.9%
0-4
9.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
-4
11.8%
0-5
5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MEN
0 - 1
FRE
53%
24%
24%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MEN
2 - 1
CAS
60%
20%
20%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
LUG
0 - 1
MEN
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MEN
5 - 4
HON
48%
26%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FRE
2 - 0
MEN
38%
26%
37%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 3
FCL
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 0
SIO
42%
25%
34%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GCZ
2 - 2
FCL
32%
25%
43%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 2
SER
35%
26%
40%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FCL
0 - 0
STU
12%
19%
69%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |