Melville United vs Birkenhead United analysis


37	ELO	45
1.4%	Tilt	-1.4%
9967º	General ELO ranking	7812º
19º	Country ELO ranking	13º
ELO win probability

27.7%

Melville United

24%

Draw

48.2%

Birkenhead United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

27.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%

24%

Draw

0-0

5.5%

1-1

11.3%

2-2

5.8%

3-3

1.3%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

24%

48.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%