Melville United vs Bay Olympic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
43.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melville United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
AUC
2 - 1
MEL
86%
10%
4%
|
26 | 62 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
MEL
0 - 1
EAS
7%
14%
80%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
NSH
3 - 2
MEL
77%
14%
10%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MEL
0 - 3
BIR
19%
21%
60%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -2 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
WSU
1 - 0
MEL
59%
20%
21%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Bay Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
NSH
0 - 4
BAO
71%
16%
13%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
WES
1 - 1
BAO
65%
18%
17%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
BAO
1 - 0
WCR
87%
9%
4%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
BAO
3 - 1
NAF
87%
9%
4%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
MUF
3 - 1
BAO
30%
22%
49%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -2 |