Melville United vs Auckland United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
39.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melville United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
ESU
3 - 2
MEL
19%
19%
62%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
MEL
3 - 4
CEN
14%
22%
64%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 3
NAP
19%
22%
60%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -6 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
BAO
0 - 2
MEL
43%
23%
34%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
MEL
4 - 0
CHR
51%
22%
28%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Auckland United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
AFC
2 - 1
WES
47%
24%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
WAI
0 - 3
AFC
84%
11%
5%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +2 |