Melton Town vs Heanor Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
35.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SKE
1 - 0
MEL
33%
22%
45%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
WIS
3 - 2
MEL
13%
17%
70%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
MEL
3 - 1
PIU
88%
8%
4%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
LOU
4 - 2
MEL
75%
14%
11%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MEL
0 - 1
ANN
30%
21%
50%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Heanor Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
HEA
2 - 2
LOU
20%
20%
60%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
HEA
0 - 5
SLE
61%
19%
20%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
KMW
0 - 1
HEA
40%
21%
39%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
HEA
3 - 1
SHC
43%
22%
35%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 3
HEA
15%
17%
68%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | +1 |