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Third Division Malta. Matchday 12

Mellieha vs Zabbar St. Patrick analysis

Mellieha Zabbar St. Patrick
4 ELO 4
12% Tilt 5%
10665º General ELO ranking 10101º
49º Country ELO ranking 38º
ELO win probability
49.2%
Mellieha
25.2%
Draw
25.6%
Zabbar St. Patrick

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
Mellieha
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.6%
Win probability
Zabbar St. Patrick
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mellieha
+30%
+55%
Zabbar St. Patrick

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Mqabba FC
52
52
100%
Fgura United FC
49
49
50%
Pembroke Athleta FC
49
49
50%
Zabbar St. Patrick
46
46
50%
San Gwann
46
46
50%
Gharghur
39
39
100%
Mellieha
37
37
100%
Senglea Athletic
33
33
100%
Marsa FC
31
31
100%
Dingli Swallows
10º
29
29
10º
100%
Siggiewi
11º
28
28
11º
100%
Marsaskala
12º
27
27
12º
100%
Kirkop United
13º
20
20
13º
100%
Mdina Knights
14º
10
10
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Mellieha
Zabbar St. Patrick
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Zabbar St. Patrick
ZAB
Mellieha
MEL
Dingli Swallows
DIN
Pembroke Athleta FC
PAT
Marsa FC
MAR
Fgura United FC
FUN
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mellieha
Mellieha
1%
X%
2%
ELO MEL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 2013
MAR
Marsaskala
2 - 1
Mellieha
MEL
46%
27%
27%
59 55 -4 0
30 Nov. 2013
MEL
Mellieha
3 - 1
Mdina Knights
MDI
46%
27%
27%
58 59 -1 0
27 Nov. 2013
MEL
Mellieha
0 - 1
Tarxien Rainbows
TAR
45%
27%
29%
60 153 -93 -1
17 Nov. 2013
SAN
San Gwann
1 - 1
Mellieha
MEL
46%
27%
27%
59 61 2 0
09 Nov. 2013
MEL
Mellieha
4 - 0
Siggiewi
SIG
45%
27%
28%
59 46 13 +1

Matches

Zabbar St. Patrick
Zabbar St. Patrick
1%
X%
2%
ELO ZAB ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Dec. 2013
ZAB
Zabbar St. Patrick
2 - 2
Senglea Athletic
SEN
45%
27%
28%
76 47 29 0
30 Nov. 2013
FUN
Fgura United FC
0 - 0
Zabbar St. Patrick
ZAB
46%
27%
27%
76 62 -14 0
17 Nov. 2013
ZAB
Zabbar St. Patrick
2 - 0
Dingli Swallows
DIN
46%
27%
27%
75 92 -17 0
11 Nov. 2013
ZAB
Zabbar St. Patrick
1 - 1
Mqabba FC
MQA
46%
27%
27%
75 94 -19 0
03 Nov. 2013
MAR
Marsaskala
0 - 0
Zabbar St. Patrick
ZAB
45%
27%
28%
75 56 -19 0