Mellieha vs Zabbar St. Patrick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mellieha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
MEL
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
MEL
3 - 1
MDI
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
MEL
0 - 1
TAR
14%
19%
66%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
MEL
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
MEL
4 - 0
SIG
56%
22%
21%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Zabbar St. Patrick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
ZAB
2 - 2
SEN
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
FUN
0 - 0
ZAB
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ZAB
2 - 0
DIN
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2013 |
ZAB
1 - 1
MQA
39%
26%
35%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
ZAB
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |