Mellieha vs Zabbar St. Patrick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mellieha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2008 |
SGC
1 - 2
MEL
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
MEL
3 - 6
VIT
43%
26%
32%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2008 |
TAR
3 - 0
MEL
72%
18%
11%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
MEL
0 - 2
DIN
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 1
MEL
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Zabbar St. Patrick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2008 |
ZAB
1 - 3
VIT
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
DIN
2 - 0
ZAB
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
ZAB
0 - 1
MOS
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
QOR
1 - 0
ZAB
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
ZAB
4 - 1
SGC
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |