Non League Div One Southern South. Jor. 16

Melksham Town vs Willand Rovers analysis

Melksham Town Willand Rovers
26 ELO 24
2.1% Tilt -8.4%
10577º General ELO ranking 9662º
658º Country ELO ranking 566º
ELO win probability
46.8%
Melksham Town
21.9%
Draw
31.3%
Willand Rovers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
Melksham Town
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
31.3%
Win probability
Willand Rovers
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Melksham Town
-11%
-21%
Willand Rovers

ELO progression

Melksham Town
Willand Rovers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Melksham Town
Melksham Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2021
AFT
AFC Totton
1 - 0
Melksham Town
MEL
64%
19%
17%
25 31 6 0
13 Nov. 2021
MEL
Melksham Town
3 - 2
Lymington Town
LYM
70%
17%
13%
25 18 7 0
06 Nov. 2021
MEL
Melksham Town
2 - 2
Winchester City
WIN
42%
23%
35%
25 26 1 0
30 Oct. 2021
HAR
Hartley Wintney
2 - 1
Melksham Town
MEL
54%
24%
22%
25 30 5 0
23 Oct. 2021
MAN
Mangotsfield United
0 - 2
Melksham Town
MEL
22%
22%
56%
24 15 9 +1

Matches

Willand Rovers
Willand Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 2021
WIL
Willand Rovers
0 - 0
Paulton Rovers
PAU
47%
22%
31%
25 24 1 0
13 Nov. 2021
HAR
Hartley Wintney
3 - 0
Willand Rovers
WIL
45%
23%
33%
27 27 0 -2
06 Nov. 2021
LYM
Lymington Town
2 - 2
Willand Rovers
WIL
22%
21%
57%
27 18 9 0
30 Oct. 2021
YAT
Yate Town
0 - 2
Willand Rovers
WIL
60%
20%
21%
25 33 8 +2
23 Oct. 2021
WIN
Winchester City
1 - 1
Willand Rovers
WIL
54%
21%
26%
25 26 1 0
X