Melksham Town vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.1%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.1%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
82.3%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
13.2%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
18%
0-4
8.5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
11%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melksham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 6
BRO
6%
15%
79%
|
24 | 62 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
MEL
0 - 3
FOR
6%
14%
80%
|
24 | 61 | 37 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
LAR
0 - 2
MEL
38%
25%
37%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 2
BAR
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
WIN
3 - 0
MEL
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2022 |
POR
1 - 0
SWI
40%
24%
37%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
SWI
2 - 1
POR
43%
24%
33%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
WAL
0 - 3
SWI
22%
24%
54%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SWI
2 - 1
BAR
62%
23%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
SWI
2 - 1
FOR
33%
26%
40%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |