FA Cup . Previa 2
Global 3-4
Melksham Town vs Shepton Mallet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
34.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melksham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
WIN
3 - 0
MEL
85%
10%
5%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 4
PAU
50%
21%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
SHE
1 - 1
MEL
41%
22%
36%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
CIR
5 - 0
MEL
88%
8%
4%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
MEL
6 - 3
SLI
61%
19%
20%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Shepton Mallet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
SHE
1 - 1
MEL
41%
22%
36%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
SHE
3 - 1
CAD
34%
22%
45%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
WIL
3 - 0
SHE
39%
22%
40%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
SHE
1 - 1
WIL
51%
21%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
SHE
1 - 4
TAV
31%
22%
47%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |