Non League Div One Southern South. Jor. 24

Melksham Town vs Bristol Manor Farm analysis

Melksham Town Bristol Manor Farm
23 ELO 26
2% Tilt -6%
10563º General ELO ranking 8829º
657º Country ELO ranking 488º
ELO win probability
46.5%
Melksham Town
22.6%
Draw
30.9%
Bristol Manor Farm

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
Melksham Town
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
30.9%
Win probability
Bristol Manor Farm
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Melksham Town
-16%
+53%
Bristol Manor Farm

ELO progression

Melksham Town
Bristol Manor Farm
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Melksham Town
Melksham Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jan. 2022
CIR
Cirencester Town
3 - 1
Melksham Town
MEL
79%
13%
8%
25 36 11 0
27 Dec. 2021
FRO
Frome Town
3 - 3
Melksham Town
MEL
68%
19%
13%
25 37 12 0
18 Dec. 2021
PAU
Paulton Rovers
3 - 0
Melksham Town
MEL
54%
22%
25%
26 26 0 -1
11 Dec. 2021
MEL
Melksham Town
1 - 3
Evesham United
EVE
67%
18%
15%
27 20 7 -1
04 Dec. 2021
BID
Bideford
1 - 2
Melksham Town
MEL
25%
24%
51%
27 20 7 0

Matches

Bristol Manor Farm
Bristol Manor Farm
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Dec. 2021
MAN
Mangotsfield United
0 - 3
Bristol Manor Farm
BRI
20%
21%
60%
24 15 9 0
18 Dec. 2021
BRI
Bristol Manor Farm
0 - 0
Cinderford Town
CIN
66%
19%
15%
24 18 6 0
11 Dec. 2021
SHO
Sholing
2 - 1
Bristol Manor Farm
BRI
59%
21%
20%
25 32 7 -1
04 Dec. 2021
BRI
Bristol Manor Farm
0 - 0
Slimbridge
SLI
67%
18%
15%
25 18 7 0
20 Nov. 2021
BRI
Bristol Manor Farm
1 - 0
Cirencester Town
CIR
22%
22%
57%
23 35 12 +2
X