First Division Temporada Regular. Jor. 14

Melita vs Lija analysis

Melita Lija
51 ELO 44
-0.7% Tilt 2.6%
2742º General ELO ranking 4043º
13º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
56.2%
Melita
21.4%
Draw
22.5%
Lija

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
Melita
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.5%
Win probability
Lija
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Melita
+59%
+13%
Lija

Points and table prediction

Melita
Their league position
Lija
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
20
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sliema Wanderers
47
47
100%
Naxxar Lions FC
41
41
100%
Zejtun Corinthians FC
33
33
100%
Tarxien Rainbows
32
32
100%
Zurrieq FC
29
29
100%
Melita
26
26
100%
Fgura United FC
25
25
100%
Marsa FC
24
24
100%
Swieqi United
24
24
100%
Saint Andrews
10º
22
22
10º
100%
Lija
11º
20
20
11º
100%
Attard
12º
19
19
12º
100%
San Gwann
13º
18
18
13º
100%
Marsaskala
14º
15
15
14º
0%
Mqabba FC
15º
15
15
15º
0%
Mtarfa
17º
14
14
16º
100%
Qrendi
16º
14
14
17º
100%
Vittoriosa Stars
18º
10
10
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Melita
Lija
Play-offs for the title
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%

ELO progression

Melita
Lija
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Melita
Melita
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 2022
NAX
Naxxar Lions FC
2 - 0
Melita
MEL
51%
24%
25%
52 54 2 0
03 Dec. 2022
SAN
San Gwann
1 - 1
Melita
MEL
29%
25%
46%
52 45 7 0
27 Nov. 2022
MEL
Melita
2 - 1
Mqabba FC
MQA
77%
16%
8%
51 36 15 +1
15 Nov. 2022
MAR
Marsa FC
2 - 3
Melita
MEL
38%
24%
38%
51 48 3 0
06 Nov. 2022
ZEJ
Zejtun Corinthians FC
3 - 0
Melita
MEL
50%
24%
25%
52 55 3 -1

Matches

Lija
Lija
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 2022
LIJ
Lija
1 - 2
San Gwann
SAN
43%
23%
34%
45 46 1 0
03 Dec. 2022
MQA
Mqabba FC
1 - 2
Lija
LIJ
21%
20%
59%
44 36 8 +1
19 Nov. 2022
XEW
Xewkija Tigers
2 - 0
Lija
LIJ
50%
22%
28%
45 49 4 -1
12 Nov. 2022
LIJ
Lija
2 - 4
Zejtun Corinthians FC
ZEJ
25%
23%
52%
45 55 10 0
06 Nov. 2022
QRE
Qrendi
3 - 3
Lija
LIJ
29%
22%
50%
46 41 5 -1
X