UD Melilla vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
17.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
POL
0 - 2
MEL
28%
28%
44%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 0
PUE
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SRQ
0 - 1
MEL
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 2
LOR
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 4
MEL
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
RJA
3 - 2
ALM
51%
28%
21%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ROQ
4 - 4
RJA
38%
29%
34%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
RJA
3 - 0
ECI
50%
28%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MAL
0 - 0
RJA
87%
10%
3%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 0
RJA
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |