UD Melilla vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
23.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
LOR
1 - 4
MEL
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
MEL
1 - 0
CFB
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CIU
0 - 1
MEL
34%
28%
38%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
MEL
3 - 0
MOR
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
AGU
0 - 0
MEL
28%
28%
44%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
RJA
1 - 1
CFB
52%
26%
21%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
RJA
2 - 1
POL
35%
30%
35%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
MOR
0 - 1
RJA
22%
28%
50%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
RJA
2 - 2
IMP
49%
28%
23%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ROQ
0 - 3
RJA
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |