UD Melilla vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
24.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2008 |
ALG
2 - 3
MEL
23%
29%
49%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
MEL
2 - 1
ALC
61%
24%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
MER
2 - 1
MEL
40%
29%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
MEL
2 - 1
AGU
46%
27%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 2
MEL
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2008 |
RJA
1 - 1
ECI
31%
28%
41%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
PUE
0 - 1
RJA
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
RJA
2 - 1
CDL
29%
28%
43%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
AGD
1 - 0
RJA
50%
28%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
RJA
1 - 0
BET
47%
28%
25%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |