UD Melilla vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.7%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
28.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
VEC
0 - 0
MEL
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
JER
0 - 0
MEL
47%
29%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
MEL
2 - 0
MER
45%
28%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
CDB
1 - 2
MEL
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
MEL
2 - 1
LAN
38%
29%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
RJA
0 - 0
JER
44%
29%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
MER
0 - 1
RJA
38%
29%
33%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
RJA
0 - 2
CDB
31%
29%
40%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
LAN
3 - 0
RJA
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
RJA
1 - 0
ULP
41%
29%
31%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |