UD Melilla vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
16%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
31.8%
Draw
0-0
15.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.8%
28.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
MAL
2 - 1
MEL
48%
27%
25%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
MEL
1 - 0
REC
29%
34%
37%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
VIL
0 - 1
MEL
20%
31%
49%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
POL
0 - 1
MEL
59%
25%
15%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1992 |
MEL
1 - 0
MAR
39%
31%
29%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
ALM
1 - 2
RJA
83%
13%
5%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
XER
2 - 1
RJA
66%
22%
13%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
RJA
0 - 1
MAS
58%
25%
17%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
CCF
2 - 1
RJA
60%
24%
16%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
RJA
0 - 0
EST
60%
24%
16%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |