UD Melilla vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
19.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
CAT
2 - 0
MEL
71%
16%
14%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
MEL
2 - 0
SDC
41%
22%
37%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +3 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
RCD
2 - 0
MEL
82%
11%
7%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
MEL
7 - 0
EME
79%
13%
9%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
BET
6 - 0
MEL
81%
12%
8%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
RJA
2 - 3
SDC
53%
20%
27%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
EME
4 - 3
RJA
46%
22%
32%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
RJA
2 - 1
UDE
66%
17%
18%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
ILI
2 - 1
RJA
61%
18%
21%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
RJA
2 - 1
ALG
65%
17%
18%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |