Tercera Division G6 Round 23

UD Melilla vs Real Jaén analysis

UD Melilla Real Jaén
44 ELO 39
-7.4% Tilt 3.7%
3857º General ELO ranking 4930º
120º Country ELO ranking 173º
ELO win probability
61.4%
UD Melilla
19.3%
Draw
19.3%
Real Jaén

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
UD Melilla
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
19.3%
Win probability
Real Jaén
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
UD Melilla
-17%
-32%
Real Jaén

ELO progression

UD Melilla
Real Jaén
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

UD Melilla
UD Melilla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Feb. 1949
CAT
Tetuán
2 - 0
UD Melilla
MEL
71%
16%
14%
44 49 5 0
20 Feb. 1949
MEL
UD Melilla
2 - 0
SD Ceuta
SDC
41%
22%
37%
41 49 8 +3
13 Feb. 1949
RCD
RCD Córdoba
2 - 0
UD Melilla
MEL
82%
11%
7%
41 64 23 0
06 Feb. 1949
MEL
UD Melilla
7 - 0
CD Electromecánica
EME
79%
13%
9%
41 33 8 0
30 Jan. 1949
BET
Real Betis
6 - 0
UD Melilla
MEL
81%
12%
8%
41 55 14 0

Matches

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Feb. 1949
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 3
SD Ceuta
SDC
53%
20%
27%
42 48 6 0
20 Feb. 1949
EME
CD Electromecánica
4 - 3
Real Jaén
RJA
46%
22%
32%
43 31 12 -1
13 Feb. 1949
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 1
UD España
UDE
66%
17%
18%
42 45 3 +1
06 Feb. 1949
ILI
Iliturgi CF
2 - 1
Real Jaén
RJA
61%
18%
21%
44 38 6 -2
30 Jan. 1949
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 1
Algeciras CF
ALG
65%
17%
18%
43 42 1 +1