Tercera Division G9 Round 7

UD Melilla vs Real Jaén analysis

UD Melilla Real Jaén
45 ELO 42
-3% Tilt 1%
3901º General ELO ranking 4973º
120º Country ELO ranking 172º
ELO win probability
58.3%
UD Melilla
20%
Draw
21.7%
Real Jaén

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
UD Melilla
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
21.7%
Win probability
Real Jaén
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
UD Melilla
-18%
-17%
Real Jaén

ELO progression

UD Melilla
Real Jaén
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

UD Melilla
UD Melilla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 1944
MAL
CD Málaga
2 - 0
UD Melilla
MEL
81%
12%
7%
44 57 13 0
26 Nov. 1944
MEL
UD Melilla
1 - 1
RB Linense
BAL
72%
16%
13%
45 36 9 -1
19 Nov. 1944
MEL
UD Melilla
2 - 1
Recreativo
REC
54%
20%
26%
44 45 1 +1
12 Nov. 1944
CAT
Tetuán
3 - 3
UD Melilla
MEL
59%
19%
21%
44 42 2 0
29 Oct. 1944
MEL
UD Melilla
0 - 0
CD Linares
LIN
73%
15%
12%
44 35 9 0

Matches

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 1944
BAL
RB Linense
1 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
43%
22%
35%
45 36 9 0
26 Nov. 1944
RJA
Real Jaén
4 - 1
Recreativo
REC
56%
20%
24%
43 44 1 +2
19 Nov. 1944
RJA
Real Jaén
4 - 0
Tetuán
CAT
60%
20%
21%
42 42 0 +1
12 Nov. 1944
LIN
CD Linares
4 - 1
Real Jaén
RJA
44%
22%
34%
44 36 8 -2
29 Oct. 1944
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 2
Algeciras CF
ALG
70%
16%
14%
44 38 6 0