UD Melilla vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
21.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1944 |
MAL
2 - 0
MEL
81%
12%
7%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1944 |
MEL
1 - 1
BAL
72%
16%
13%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1944 |
MEL
2 - 1
REC
54%
20%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1944 |
CAT
3 - 3
MEL
59%
19%
21%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1944 |
MEL
0 - 0
LIN
73%
15%
12%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1944 |
BAL
1 - 0
RJA
43%
22%
35%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1944 |
RJA
4 - 1
REC
56%
20%
24%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 1944 |
RJA
4 - 0
CAT
60%
20%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1944 |
LIN
4 - 1
RJA
44%
22%
34%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 1944 |
RJA
2 - 2
ALG
70%
16%
14%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |