UD Melilla vs Cartagena CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
16%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16%
15.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
MAL
1 - 1
MEL
83%
11%
7%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
MEL
3 - 1
BAL
57%
20%
23%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1951 |
ALI
2 - 0
MEL
43%
21%
36%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
MEL
2 - 2
SLA
56%
20%
24%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
MEL
4 - 2
PUL
60%
20%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Cartagena CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
CAR
1 - 4
MUR
52%
21%
27%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
RCD
4 - 0
CAR
66%
18%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1951 |
CAR
1 - 3
GRA
56%
21%
24%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
CAR
1 - 1
RCD
59%
20%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
MLL
6 - 1
CAR
62%
19%
19%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |