Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
12º
11º
35
4º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
MEL
1 - 2
SYD
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PER
3 - 1
MEL
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ADE
1 - 1
MEL
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
MEL
0 - 1
BRI
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
CCM
2 - 1
MEL
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
WPH
2 - 2
PER
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
WPH
2 - 1
CCM
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 1
WPH
38%
27%
36%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
SYD
0 - 1
WPH
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
WPH
1 - 3
MCI
34%
26%
41%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |