Melbourne Victory vs Sydney FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
29.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2008 |
NEW
4 - 2
MEL
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
PER
3 - 1
MEL
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
WPH
2 - 1
MEL
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2008 |
MEL
2 - 1
CCM
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
BRI
0 - 1
MEL
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
SYD
1 - 4
PER
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
CCM
2 - 1
SYD
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
NEW
1 - 2
SYD
37%
29%
35%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
SYD
1 - 1
BRI
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
ADE
2 - 0
SYD
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |