Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
7º
5º
17
9º
12º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
WUF
1 - 3
MEL
25%
26%
49%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
WPH
1 - 0
MEL
41%
26%
34%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 0
BRI
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 1
MFC
50%
25%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
MCI
1 - 3
MEL
49%
24%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 2
PER
65%
20%
16%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
PER
1 - 3
WUF
41%
24%
35%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
PER
0 - 5
MCI
23%
23%
54%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CCM
0 - 0
PER
73%
17%
11%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
PER
0 - 2
WPH
31%
25%
44%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |